Thursday, October 29, 2015

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Extending Post-Fed Weakness; Data Not Helping

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Yesterday was obviously bad for bond markets. The shift in tone from the Fed caught many market participants off guard. Since the announcement, Fed Funds Futures have moved to price in better than a 50 percent chance of a December hike versus about a 1 in 3 chance before the announcement. While it wouldn't have been unfair to expect traders to take more time to come to terms with the surprise (read: more selling today), bond markets actually began the overnight session holding relatively steady. It wasn't until the earliest domestic trading activity began that we started to lose ground. The GDP data didn't help. Even though the headline was weaker than forecast (1.5 vs 1.6), there was a significant impact from an inventory reduction (1.44 percent). That means GDP would have been...(read more)
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from Mortgage News Daily http://ift.tt/1Mwi3ZK

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