Friday, July 15, 2016

MBS Day Ahead: Perfectly Flat Bonds Ready To Head Either Way After Data

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Granted, economic data in the US is far from the only game in town at the moment. In fact, it's probably one of the least important games there is, when it comes to determining the long-term fate of rates. But it is one of the only games in town this morning. Retail Sales has always been a potential market mover, and the forecast of +0.1 leaves the door open for a bigger perceived reaction (because it's so close to negative territory that any big beat or miss "looks" bigger than it actually is). CPI is important once again (it spent quite a few years in a hole), as some inflation metrics (like yesterday's PPI) show signs of life. CPI is also important because of the general renewed focus on inflation that's followed logically from the oil price crash. The thinking...(read more)
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from Mortgage News Daily http://ift.tt/29AaofI

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