Friday, December 4, 2015

MBS MID-DAY: Nice Recovery For Bonds Despite On-Target NFP

Posted To: MBS Commentary

This morning's NFP data came in just a bit hotter than expected at 211k vs a median forecast of 200k. Revisions were fairly strong, but wage growth cooled from +0.4 to +0.2. Unemployment held steady at 5.0 percent, but U-6 unemployment (the broadest measurement of folks who aren't working as much as they want to be) rose by 0.1 percent. The initial reaction saw bond markets lose ground, but that was quickly relegated to knee-jerk status and the rest of the day has been going relatively smoothly. While it's not a 100% correlation, a sharp decline in oil prices probably isn't hurting bond markets today (due to the inflation implications). Given that the shorter-term yields aren't moving as much in Treasuries, we can conclude that today's bounce back is also being supported...(read more)
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from Mortgage News Daily http://ift.tt/1NvEugh

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